Pakistan

Weekly inflation up 1.05pc in Pakistan

World food prices rise for first time in a year- FAO

ISLAMABAD – Consumer prices witnessed an increase in the outgoing week on the back of wheat flour, chicken, potatoes, pulses and powdered milk, taking the weekly inflation to 48.35% on an annual basis, the official data showed on Friday.

The short-term inflation, measured by Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI), for the current week ended on May 4, 2023 recorded an increase of 1.50%, said Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) in its report.

Major increase was observed in the prices of food items, Chicken (8.91%), Potatoes (3.99%), Powdered Milk (3.81%), Pulse Gram (1.96%), Pulse Masoor (1.83%), Eggs (1.81%), Mutton (1.71%), Pulse Mash (1.58%), Cooked Daal (1.36%), and Bread (1.13%), non-food items, Gents Sponge Chappal (58.05%), Gents Sandal (33.36%), Ladies Sandal (14.31%) and Washing Soap (1.27%), the report said.

Meanwhile, a decline was witnessed in the prices of Onions (16.69%), Garlic (3.44%), Tomatoes (3.41%), Diesel (1.70%), Mustard Oil (0.99%), LPG (0.96%), Cooking Oil 5 litre (0.40%) and vegetable ghee 2.5kg & 1kg (0.10%) each.

The year on year trend depicts an increase of 48.35 with as uptick was witnessed in prices of wheat flour (177.61%), cigarettes (146.44%), potatoes (123.00%), gas charges for Q1 (108.38%), Tea Lipton (104.28%), gents sponge shappal (100.33%), diesel (99.39%), eggs (95.45%), rice basmati broken (89.31%), bananas (87.86%), petrol (87.81%), rice irri-6/9 (84.43%), pulse moong (68.44%), bread (62.83%) and pulse mash (60.59%).

However, decrease was observed in the prices of Tomatoes (50.09%), Onions (10.03%) and Chilies Powdered (6.48%).

In World,

The United Nations food agency’s world price index rose in April for the first time is a year, but is still some 20 per cent up on a record high hit in March 2022 following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

The Food and Agriculture Organization’s (FAO) price index, which tracks the most globally traded food commodities, averaged 127.2 points last month against 126.5 for March, the agency said on Friday. The March reading was originally given as 126.9.

The Rome-based agency said the April rise reflected higher prices for sugar, meat and rice, which offset declines in the cereals, dairy and vegetable oil price indices.

“As economies recover from significant slowdowns, demand will increase, exerting upward pressure on food prices,” said FAO Chief Economist Maximo Torero.

The sugar price index surged 17.6 per cent from March, hitting its highest level since October 2011. FAO said the rise was linked to concerns of tighter supplies following downward revisions to production forecasts for India and China, along with lower-than-earlier-expected outputs in Thailand and the European Union.

While the meat index rose 1.3 per cent month-on-month, dairy prices dipped 1.7 per cent, vegetable oil prices fell 1.3 per cent and the cereal price index shed 1.7 per cent, with a decline in world prices of all major grains outweighing an increase in rice prices.

“The increase in rice prices is extremely worrisome and it is essential that the Black Sea initiative is renewed to avoid any other spikes in wheat and maize,” said Torero, referring to a deal to allow the export of Ukrainian grain via the Black Sea.

In a separate report on cereals supply and demand, the FAO forecast world wheat production in 2023 of 785 million tonnes, slightly below 2022 levels but nonetheless the second largest outturn on record.

“(The) 2023/24 prospects for rice production along and south of the equator are mixed, largely due to the regionally varied impact of the La Niña event,” FAO said.

FAO raised its forecast for world cereal production in 2022 to 2.785 billion tonnes from a previous 2.777 billion, just 1.0 per cent down from the previous year.

World cereal utilisation in the 2022/23 period was seen at 2.780 billion tonnes, FAO said, down 0.7 per cent from 2021/22. World cereal stocks by the close of the 2022/2023 seasons are expected to ease by 0.2 per cent from their opening levels to 855 million tonnes.

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